The Mirage of De-escalation: Assessing the Viability of a US-Iran Peace
This policy insight evaluates the viability of the proposed US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) as a pathway toward de-escalation following a prolonged period of military confrontation. It explores the competing strategic objectives and non-negotiable redlines of both Washington and Tehran, while assessing the effectiveness of Pakistan’s diplomatic facilitation. The analysis further highlights the interplay between coercive diplomacy, regional power politics, energy security, and humanitarian concerns, underscoring the challenges of translating a fragile ceasefire into a sustainable peace settlement.
